Estimates produced by the Institute for Social and Economic Research (ISER) at the University of Essex suggest the lockdown can take more than 6.5m jobs out of the economy, around a quarter of the total.

Their baseline scenario predicts an overall contraction in GDP and employment of around 20%, including direct and indirect effects.

The most badly affected sector is Accommodation & Food Services where three quarters of jobs could , followed by Services and retail ,almost halved, and transport around four in ten.

Agriculture, Forestry & Fishing loses one job in 10, mainly due to reduced demand by the Accommodation & Food Services sector.

Mining, Energy and Water Supply, Real Estate Activities together with Public Administration and Techical Activities are barely affected, while the Health sector sees a significant increase in overall production and employment by nearly a third.


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