A new report identifies how poor incentives have driven overdiagnosis of mental ill health and neurodivergence in young people, stretching key public services to breaking point.

The report by the Think Tank Policy Exchange found that the cost of support has spiralled to tens of billions each year, whilst young people struggle to access early help and those with the most severe needs lose out.

The report reveals that 1 in 5 children in England is now reported to have SEND. Since 2015 Education, Health and Care Plans, designed for children with the most severe needs, have increased 83%, whilst since 2014 NHS Referrals to children’s mental health services by 50% and Disability Living Allowance claimants at 15 by 20%.

Half of all schools spending since 2015 has gone on SEND, with costs to hit £11bn a year in 2024/25. Child Disability Living Allowance is projected to hit £6.4bn by the end of the decade. Young person’s mental health now costs the NHS over £1bn a year.

The SEND, child disability and mental health systems are failing to distinguish between legitimate and exaggerated claims for support. 94% of Education Health and Care Plan assessments were successful in 2024, whilst the vast majority of assessments for Disability Living Allowance are conducted without the assessor ever meeting the child.

The report calls for the current SEND system to be radically overhauled, with EHCPs only for students in special schools, and councils and professionals empowered to manage budgets and resources.

In a preface to the report Alun Francis OBE, Chair of the Social Mobility Commission, says:

“This report’s radical proposals for SEND are particularly noteworthy – and timely.

For too long, SEND has been viewed through a lens of deficit; a system characterised by bureaucratic hurdles, fragmented support, and a focus on what a child cannot do, rather than their potential. It has encouraged families and schools to escalate and entrench needs – rather than empowering the system to meet these more proactively and flexibly.  They embark on a journey expecting a positive outcome, but find themselves in a disappointing dead end.

This report makes the compelling case that we must move from a tick-box attitude that solely prioritises ‘meeting need’ to one which has efficacy and outcomes at its core.”

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