The 2022/23 Premier League season is underway and so far, no better words to describe it than breathtaking. It has been exciting for both spectators and bettors, especially the ones that use bet 365 Ireland for live bets. Although we are still early in the season, the upsets have been astonishing, with Arsenal leading after seven games.

We are set to witness the first Manchester derby of the season on October 2nd. And judging by the atmosphere, everyone is anticipating it. Manchester City is second on the table after seven games, only one point shy of the top, while Manchester United is in fifth place after six games.

In short, there is no better time to see this fixture, so the big question remains – what are the bookies saying? Who has the higher win probability? Read on and find out!

Who Has the Higher Win Probability?

After seven games this season, the Cityzens are yet to lose a fixture, with two draws as a blemish on their record. The Red Devils, on the other hand, have no draws but have suffered two defeats after six games. If we were to judge from their records on the surface so far this season, everyone’s pick will undoubtedly be the Cityzens. But we like to analyze deeper.

Looking at Manchester City’s resume, it is safe to say that they have not faced a very formidable opponent in the PL this season. In fact, their draws come from:

  • Newcastle 
  • Aston Villa 

But for the Red Devils, although they have two defeats so far, we can say they have faced two strong opponents. Their defeats come from:

  • Brighton & Hove Albion
  • Brentford

And In fact, Manchester United is the only blemish on Arsenal and Liverpool’s season record, handing them their only defeats after their first seven and six matches respectively. An unbeaten Arsenal on a five-game winning streak suffered a 3-1 defeat to the Red Devils. Liverpool also fell prey to United handing them a 2-1 defeat at Old Trafford.

So, Judging from the team with stronger opposition this season, Manchester United has faced two giants. But we should also consider the managers. The Red Devils kicked off the season with a new manager, Erik Ten Hag, making his PL debut with the team. Pep on the other hand has been around for a while and has one of the most impressive records. Compared to a manager having his first Manchester derby, everyone will go with Pep. 

Overall, Manchester City is the favorite for bookies and spectators at large. The experience, record, and team strength favor the Cityzens so it is understandable. But who knows? Either way, October 2nd isn’t far away!

This Sport and Its Uncertainties

We should remind you of this sport’s unpredictability; that is where the beauty lies. Anything can happen. What we did is to pick the favorite based on records and analysis. We don’t give you 100% assurance so stake wisely!

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